Joe Biden would be a repeat of the mistakes made in 2016. John Iadarola and Executive Director of Justice Democrats Alexandra Rojas break it down on The Damage Report. Follow The Damage Report on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/TheDamageReportTYT/
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Read more here: https://www.cnn.com/2019/04/25/politics/joe-biden-candidacy-analysis/index.html
“The case against Biden: He may have an activist problem
Biden is supposedly going to trot out a bunch of endorsements following his announcement. That’s a good sign for the former vice president, given endorsements are usually correlated with primary success. Still, Biden hasn’t shown anywhere near the strength in the endorsement primary that you might expect from someone who was elected to the US Senate more than 45 years ago.
Additionally, party activists in the early states seem to be leaning away from Biden, according to a study by University of Denver Professor Seth Masket. Only about a fifth of them are currently considering backing Biden. That’s down considerably from the end of last year. (Note: I’ve discussed the potential flaws in using this study to project the primary before.)
The split is, in a way, reminiscent of the 2016 campaign. In that cycle, Bush held a nominal advantage among elites (i.e. office holders). Activists, however, were not fans of his. On the other hand, Donald Trump was the opposite. Elites didn’t like him, while he was reasonably well liked in surveys of activists.
Biden’s certainly hoping for a different result in 2020 than 2016, if there ends up being a split between activists and elites. Biden will need to have good support from union activists.
If I were Biden, though, I’d worry that party apparatus isn’t more in my corner.”
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